Dilly Dilly vs Armadildos — Week 3 Recap

2026 · Week 3

← Week 3 articles
recapWeek 32026

Dilly Dilly

106.7

vs

Armadildos

71.7

35.0 spread (Dilly Dilly favoured)3-4 / 3-4Rank #7 / #4

Pink Slip's record

13 of 30 season recordHit

Boom / bust vs projection

  • Tony Pollard+1.0
  • Emeka Egbuka+0.2
  • Drake Maye-14.2
  • Jonathan Taylor-10.0
  • Pittsburgh Steelers-2.8

Left on the bench

Final margin
35.0
Dilly Dilly bench
24.7
Armadildos bench
14.1

Dilly Dilly vs Armadildos — Week 3 Recap

The Result

Dilly Dilly (Morten) beat Armadildos (Sebastian) 106.68 - 71.66, a 35.02-point margin that got uglier as the week went on. Neither side hit its number: Morten's squad landed at 106.68 against a projected 119.15, and Sebastian's group cratered to 71.66 against a projected 103.86. This wasn't a shootout that broke one way — it was two teams underperforming, and one of them underperformed catastrophically.

The Correction

The preview called it: Dilly Dilly (Morten), by 15.4. The actual margin more than doubled that at 35.02. Verdict: correct. That pushes the season record on these calls to 4 of 15.

Who Delivered, Who Didn't

Trevor Lawrence anchored the QB spot with 19.78 points, and Christian McCaffrey turned in 19.6 at running back. Christian Watson added 19.1 at receiver. No projections were logged for any of them this week, so I can't grade the number against an expectation — I can just tell you it carried the box score.

On the other end, Terrance Ferguson gave Dilly Dilly almost nothing at tight end with 1.4, the Philadelphia Eagles defense managed just 2, and Jalen Coker scored 2.8 at receiver. Same caveat: no projections to measure against, but those are rough lines regardless of what was expected.

The Bench

This is where it gets painful for Morten, even in a win. Jordan Addison sat and scored 17.5 while Terrance Ferguson started and returned 1.4 — a swing of 16.1 points left on the table. Rachaad White scored 10.6 on the bench behind a Philadelphia Eagles defense that managed 2, costing 8.6. Mack Hollins put up 11.7 unused while the Pittsburgh Steelers defense started and scored 3.5, a 8.2-point gap. And Chris Rodriguez scored 9.7 on the bench behind Drake Maye's 3.76, another 5.94 left unclaimed.

The Swing

This one wasn't close enough to blame a single decision. The largest bench regret — Addison over Ferguson — cost 16.1 points, but the final margin was 35.02. Even the best available swap wouldn't have flipped this game; Dilly Dilly won this one outright.

Positional Results

PositionHomeEdgeAwayDelta
QB19.83.8
proj 17.9
+16.0
RB46.431.3
proj 41.8
+15.1
WR37.121.1
proj 24.3
+16.0
TE1.412.0
proj 13.4
-10.6
DEF2.03.5
proj 6.3
-1.5

Standings Impact

Dilly Dilly entered this week at 0-2, and this win matters a great deal given that 6 wins is the playoff bar and finishing at 4 or fewer risks landing in last place — the Pink. Armadildos came in 2-0 with a point differential of 78.04, the best in that split, and this kind of no-show — 71.66 actual against a 103.86 projection — is the sort of result that can unravel a hot start fast. With 11 weeks remaining in a 14-week season, there's plenty of time to correct course either way, but nobody wants to be figuring out how to climb out of an early hole with this much season left on the clock.