Germarican Wily Wieners vs The HenDawgs — Week 1 Recap
2026 · Week 1
Germarican Wily Wieners
123.7
The HenDawgs
106.2
Pink Slip's record
Boom / bust vs projection
- David Montgomery+13.1
- DJ Moore+9.6
- Javonte Williams+5.5
- Ja'Marr Chase-14.8
- J.K. Dobbins-5.6
- Los Angeles Rams-5.0
Left on the bench
Germarican Wily Wieners vs The HenDawgs — Week 1 Recap
The Result
Final score: Germarican Wily Wieners 123.66, The HenDawgs 106.16. Chris's squad wins by 17.5. Chris blew past his own projection of 110.19 to land at 123.66, while Peter's team came up short of his 112.68 projection, finishing at 106.16.
The Correction
The preview called this one for The HenDawgs (Peter), by 22.4. That's a miss, and not a close one — the actual result went the other direction by 17.5. Season record on these calls now sits at 2 of 6.
Who Delivered, Who Didn't
Derrick Henry was the story of the week, going for 34.8 actual with no projection on record to measure against. David Montgomery backed that up with 27.4 actual against a 14.27 projection — nearly double what was expected. Jaxon Smith-Njigba chipped in 22.2 with no projection available.
On the other end, the Los Angeles Rams defense scored just 2 actual against a 7.03 projection. Courtland Sutton was a non-factor at 2.1 actual with no projection to compare. And Ja'Marr Chase, projected for 16.97, managed only 2.2 — a brutal miss for whoever trusted that lineup slot.
The Bench
The bench regrets here are ugly. Dallas Goedert put up 21.7 points doing nothing for anyone while the Rams DEF started and scored 2 — that's 19.7 points left on the table. Devaughn Vele dropped 16.4 on the bench while Ja'Marr Chase started and returned 2.2, a 14.2-point gap. Jakobi Meyers scored 11.2 unused while Courtland Sutton started for 2.1, costing 9.1 points. And Emmett Johnson added 7.8 on the bench while George Kittle started and scored 2.2, a 5.6-point miss.
The Swing
The margin was 17.5. The single biggest bench regret — Dallas Goedert's 21.7 sitting behind a Rams defense that scored 2 — represents a 19.7-point swing. That's larger than the margin itself. Had that one lineup call gone differently, the math flips: enough points were sitting on the bench to have changed the outcome.
Positional Results
| Position | Home | Edge | Away | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 17.7 proj 15.7 | 10.2 | +7.5 | |
| RB | 52.7 proj 39.7 | 54.6 | -1.9 | |
| WR | 38.4 proj 39.6 | 31.7 | +6.7 | |
| TE | 12.9 proj 8.2 | 2.2 | +10.7 | |
| DEF | 2.0 proj 7.0 | 7.5 | -5.5 |
Standings Impact
Germarican Wily Wieners moves to 1-0, The HenDawgs drops to 0-1. It's one game in a 14-week season with 13 weeks still to play, and it takes 6 wins to reach the playoffs — with 4 or fewer wins risking last place and the Pink designation. Nobody's cooked or crowned off a Week 1 result, but Peter's team needs to answer for that Ja'Marr Chase and Courtland Sutton dead weight fast if it doesn't want to be having this conversation again in Week 14.